Thursday, January 12, 2017

Thursday 1/12 DFS NBA contest - Viva La Mexico?

One of the games I like the most is being played in Mexico tonight, and that scares me.  I loved Dirk until I started doing a little research on games played there and now I'm fading most of the guys in that game, save one.

Here is my locked in lineup:

PG: Jrue Holiday - $7,000 - Pelicans: As soon as Anthony Davis went out  I locked Jrue into all of my lineups - though I fully assume and expect he and Terrence Jones to be the chalk from that game.  Holiday was already on my board as he continues to impress but he really has no choice but to go big in tonight's game vs the hapless Nets.

SG: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope - $5,900 - Pistons: KCP was the last player I inserted into my lineups tonight, as I don't LOVE his match-up tonight, but at under $6k I felt he has a very good chance of hitting value.  In what should be an up-tempo game this kind of "do it all" guy should be able to fill several slots in the box.

SF: Carmelo Anthony - $7,300 - Knicks: I never feel good about rostering Melo, but with Porzingis out and no Jimmy Butler playing DEF he turned into almost a "Must start" player tonight.  In a match-up vs his buddy D Wade and in a spot where  the Knicks will likely want to get a win on their home court a night after dropping a heart breaker to the Sixers, I look for Carmelo to put up 55+ tonight.  Call me crazy...

PF: Terrence Jones - $6,000 - Pelicans: As I mentioned, with Davis out, Jones was an insta-start.  When he gets minutes he produces at a high fantasy level.  He should see all of the minutes he can stand tonight without Brow in the lineup.  At $6k, a pretty hefty price tag, Jones will have some work to do to reach value but I have a hard time imagining him not getting there.

C: Tyson Chandler - $4,900 - Suns:  Ugh, this Mexico game...  Chanlder has been playing at a high level at a very reasonable price.  Len is questionable, so Tyson should see plenty of minutes if he can stay out of foul trouble.  Bogut was scratched, so this should allow Tyson to have a little bit easier of a time grabbing some rebounds and of course there's the revenge factor of a player playing his former team.

G: Eric Bledsoe - $7,000 - Suns: Ugh, this Mexico game... Wait, I think I just said that?   Bledsoe's price is very low for what he's been doing lately on the court.  I'm thinking that DK factored in the travel along with a pretty solid DEF he's facing tonight, but I'll take his chances at that price for as long as they want to give it to us.

F: Harrison Barnes - $6,700 - Mavericks:  Alright, I won't say it again.  For tournaments only, I have several players in this game that I like.  I can't trust them in cash games because there's no telling how playing in this different atmosphere will effect some of these guys - but for tournaments, I couldn't resist Barnes at a good price playing in an up-tempo game.

UTL: Rajon Rondo - $5,000 - Bulls: I had a small % of him in their last game and he played pretty darn well ... and DK noticed and bumped up his price.  That being said, the team still needs offense and Wade can't do it all by himself.  I really wanted to gamble with McDermott again tonight but decided to roll Rondo out there in the national TV spot that he likes to play in.   Hopefully he gets some run and he continues to try and increase his trade value tonight.