Another frustrating night of DFS is about in the books and it can't end fast enough.
I only played a handful of teams tonight but it was enough to fry my brain a bit ... but I guess that really doesn't take much.
The Good or Not Horrible
In what is almost an insta-start for me, Kemba Walker playing at home vs Lillard DEF was a lock on almost every roster I had tonight. Lillard isn't known as much of a defender and I figured they would leave McCollum to try and match up with Batum so Kemba could have his way tonight.
He didn't exactly crush value, as he was $7,700, but he got to that magic 5x area I like finishing with 40.5 DK points. Not a bad way to start my lineups, as he certainly was the anchor on nearly all of them.
Darren Collison played some pretty good ball with Ty Lawson was out a few weeks ago and, with Lawson questionable leading up to the game, I went ahead and fired Darren out into over 1/2 of my lineups tonight. Just before the game, but after the roster lock of the early games, Lawson was ruled out and helped my this pick look a little better. At $5,300 he needs 28 to reach the 5x level I like and, as I write this, he as 19.5 at half so that shouldn't be too hard for him to reach.
Montrezl Harrell is a high energy guy that I absolutely love when he's going to get minutes vs a big man that isn't a dominant presence like a Cousins, Towns, Gobert, etc. Tonight he faced the Bucks who would be using Greg Monroe and John Henson and shortly before roster lock it was announced that Harrell would be starting over Capella. That was all I needed to hear to fire him out in a few lineups tonight and he did not disappoint as he ended with 37 DK pts at just $5,100.
There were other guys that I had sporadically throughout the rest of my teams such as Batum, Beasley, Kuzminskas, Lowry and Aminu who all put up solid nights for my teams.
That being said, they couldn't pick up the slack of my two huge duds of the night. There were two popular "cheap-ish" centers tonight and I wanted to start them both on my teams, using the C slot for one and the UTL slot for the other, but thought better of it. Instead, I decided to split them up evenly across almost all of my teams as "there's no way they both bust tonight, right?"
The HORRIBLE
Kyle O'Quinn is likely one of the most hated men in the DFS universe tonight. A super popular pick, which should've been reason enough for me to fade him, O'Quinn jumped to the top of everyone's value chart the second that Noah was ruled out tonight for the Knicks. Being that he has shown flashes of brilliance during a number of his starts tonight he was an almost "must play" in many people's eyes tonight, including mine. 4.75 DK points later and I'm cursing at my computer, the TV, O'Quinn, Spike Lee and anything else related to the Knicks. How someone that has flashed 40 point upside on multiple occasions could get 4.75 pts and get just 10 minutes in a start is mind-blowing.
And, on the other side of the ball we have
Kelly Olynyk of the Celtics. Coming off 7 straight games of 20 or more DK pts and putting up 44 and 34 in his last two outings, Olynyk was in a prime spot to crush value again tonight against the hapless Knicks. As baffling as it is that O'Quinn only played 10 minutes tonight it is complete insanity that Kelly was given only 13 minutes for Boston tonight. Now, I get it, I know, Amir Johnson played great for the Celts and cut into his time, just like Hernangomez played great cutting into O'Quinn's time but with the recent track-record of Olynyk one would think he would get a little more rope to hang himself with before yanking him off the floor. Apparently not. Ending with just 9 pts the majority of my rosters were dead once the final buzzer went off in this game.
Again, in retrospect I should've likely looked elsewhere as these two guys were certainly going to be high owned and that's not the best way to attack tournaments but never did I expect them both to tank this bad.
Well, live and learn, right?
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