Monday, January 2, 2017

Monday DFS Draft Kings pick #3 -- Power Forward

There are several solid plays at the PF position tonight, both at the high end and mid to lower end of the spectrum.

I will give you the one I will likely be using several times tonight:

PF: Jabari Parker - MLW - $7,300

The early over/under of this game is set at 212 with the Bucks being 1 point home favorites, which means the game should stay close and give the starters more minutes in crunch time.

Parker averages a whopping 7 fantasy points per game more at home vs on the road, so playing in Milwaukee should benefit the young star.

The Thunder should push the tempo vs the Bucks and, in turn, give this game a fairly good chance of going over the projected total.  OKC ranks in the middle of the pact in DEF vs the PF position at 16th and give up an average of 45.20 FFPG to this position.

Here is my other thought on the game ... many people will be jumping onto the Malcolm Brogdon train after showing major upside since being moved into the starting lineup.

I will not be one of those people tonight.

It would be a huge surprise to me if the Bucks do not put Giannis or Tony Snell on Westbrook in an attempt to slow him down, thus leaving Victor Oladipo in charge of guarding Brogdon.

Oladipo's DEF is enough to scare me off Malcolm tonight and look for other value at the guard position.

That being said, this leaves Sabonis with the unenviable task of trying to guard Jabari.

Parker has scored over 40 fantasy points in his last three home games and I don't see it being a problem at all for him to reach that number again tonight.  At $7,300 he would need almost 44 to get you 6x on his salary, and I think he's got a better than average chance of achieving that number.

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